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Message Area
Passive Investing

ETF Annual Turnover

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#1 of 73

     Posted Nov-2 6:38 AM   
Nancy Crays [Administrator]
 
From  Nancy Crays [Administrator]  Posts 836  Last 6:33 AM
To  All      [Msg # 33761.1 ]    
Do you pay attention to annual turnover in ETFs when considering a purchase or comparing them?  I have been looking at EWA which has 10% and IDV which has 62%.  That's a big difference.

Nancy C.
Seniors Community
Investing for Growth Forum

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#2 of 73

     Posted Nov-2 7:34 AM   
Dan Hess
 
From  Dan Hess  Posts 4718  Last 9:21 AM
To  Nancy Crays [Administrator]      [Msg # 33761.2 Message 33761.2 replying to 33761.1 33761.1 ]    

Nancy

Do you pay attention to annual turnover in ETFs when considering a purchase or comparing them?  I have been looking at EWA which has 10% and IDV which has 62%.  That's a big difference.

My short answer is no.  I assume you obtained the turnover numbers from Yahoo.  I am not sure how they compute the turnover for an ETF but I suspect it is influenced by the actions of the AP's as they buy and sell ETFs to keep the market price close to the NAV.  For an ETF like IDV that started on 6/11/07 and is still quite small the higher number is likely influenced by the buyers actions resulting in high percentage numbers due to the smaller base.  i.e. SPY has a turnover rate of 4.56%.

I do note that IDV fluctuates somewhat widely from its NAV and that is of concern.  I suspect this is due to its small size and will become more stable as time goes on.  Also the volatility was rather wide since 6/11/07.  I always use limit orders to try to minimize this impact.

Dan

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#3 of 73

     Posted Nov-2 8:18 AM   
Nancy Crays [Administrator]
 
From  Nancy Crays [Administrator]  Posts 836  Last 6:33 AM
To  Dan Hess      [Msg # 33761.3 Message 33761.3 replying to 33761.2 33761.2 ]    
I got the turnover numbers from Morningstar.

Maybe I misunderstand the turnover numbers.  I thought it meant that a given stock was being sold and another bought.  That's being simplistic.  After reading your message I'm thinking it may be related to trading volume.

Nancy C.
Seniors Community
Investing for Growth Forum

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#4 of 73

     Posted Nov-2 8:34 AM   
Lowell Herr
 
From  Lowell Herr  Posts 9381  Last 7:59 AM
To  Nancy Crays [Administrator]      [Msg # 33761.4 Message 33761.4 replying to 33761.1 33761.1 ]    
Do you pay attention to annual turnover in ETFs when considering a purchase or comparing them?  I have been looking at EWA which has 10% and IDV which has 62%.  That's a big difference.
Nancy,

No.  I don't consider it to be important.

Lowell

http://www.lherr.org/blog/
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#5 of 73

     Posted Nov-2 11:17 AM   
Dan Hess
 
From  Dan Hess  Posts 4718  Last 9:21 AM
To  Nancy Crays [Administrator]      [Msg # 33761.5 Message 33761.5 replying to 33761.3 33761.3 ]    

Maybe I misunderstand the turnover numbers.  I thought it meant that a given stock was being sold and another bought.  That's being simplistic.  After reading your message I'm thinking it may be related to trading volume.

John Bogel pointed out that some daytraders were using ETFs.  There is some of this but I think he over emphasized it.  I have only index ETFs (24 to be precise at the moment) that there is little change initiated by the index that is usually only changed once a year.  Actively traded ETFs are another matter and depend upon the "gun slinger" manager of the portfolio. I do suspect some hedges are using ETFs such as someone wanting to long or short the S&P 500 and thus using SPY.  I do not know how Yahoo or MS counts but I suspect a lot of volaume may be coming from AP's adding or removing shares. 

Like Lowell I do not see turnover to be important like it is with a mutual fund, but do like to see sufficient voluem to help assure the market price and NAV remain fairly close.

Dan

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#6 of 73

     Posted Nov-2 1:06 PM   
Nancy Crays [Administrator]
 
From  Nancy Crays [Administrator]  Posts 836  Last 6:33 AM
To  Dan Hess      [Msg # 33761.6 Message 33761.6 replying to 33761.5 33761.5 ]    
I guess I'll just ignore that piece of information.  Like you, I do want to see sufficient volume.

Nancy C.
Seniors Community
Investing for Growth Forum

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#7 of 73

     Posted Nov-2 4:51 PM   
Bob
 
From  Bob  Posts 5477  Last 2:28 PM
To  Nancy Crays [Administrator]      [Msg # 33761.7 Message 33761.7 replying to 33761.6 33761.6 ]    

Nancy,

I guess I'm missing something.  I'm buying a stock!  No matter what you call it or how you get there you're buying a company's stock.  The more people involved, the more slices of the pie there are.  The less control you have over your decisions.  Increased diversification may not translate into increased returns.

Bob

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#8 of 73

     Posted Nov-2 5:27 PM   
Nancy Crays [Administrator]
 
From  Nancy Crays [Administrator]  Posts 836  Last 6:33 AM
To  Bob      [Msg # 33761.8 Message 33761.8 replying to 33761.7 33761.7 ]    
No matter what you call it or how you get there you're buying a company's stock.

I don't think that is right.  You are buying more than one company's stock.  It trades like a stock though.


The more people involved, the more slices of the pie there are. 


True.  That is one reason why ETFs have lower expenses than open-ended mutual funds.


Increased diversification may not translate into increased returns.


I don't disagree.  However, that is not the whole reason I buy ETFs.  As I've said many times before, I am buying index ETFs, which tend to do as well or better than most stock pickers.  I'm trying to simplify things for my heirs and I'm trying to simplify my own investing.  Most of my ETFs are international or small companies which fills in gaps in my stock portfolio.

Nancy C.
Seniors Community
Investing for Growth Forum

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#9 of 73

     Posted Nov-2 6:44 PM   
Lowell Herr
 
From  Lowell Herr  Posts 9381  Last 7:59 AM
To  Bob      [Msg # 33761.9 Message 33761.9 replying to 33761.7 33761.7 ]    
Increased diversification may not translate into increased returns.
However, there is a greater probability of increasing the Information Ratio.

I just posted a data table showing the latest updates for 19 portfolios.  Seventeen of the 19 are out-performing the VTSMX, and the two that are not are not as well diversified.

Lowell


http://www.lherr.org/blog/
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#10 of 73

     Posted Nov-2 8:28 PM   
Bob
 
From  Bob  Posts 5477  Last 2:28 PM
To  Nancy Crays [Administrator]      [Msg # 33761.10 Message 33761.10 replying to 33761.8 33761.8 ]    

  As I've said many times before, I am buying index ETFs, which tend to do as well or better than most stock pickers. 

Nancy,

I keep hearing that but I haven't seen any data to support it.  Also as a stock picker buy and hold strategy, I'm happy to do nearly as well as the ETFs, without fees.

Bob

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#11 of 73

     Posted Nov-2 8:31 PM   
Bob
 
From  Bob  Posts 5477  Last 2:28 PM
To  Lowell Herr      [Msg # 33761.11 Message 33761.11 replying to 33761.9 33761.9 ]    

Increased diversification may not translate into increased returns.


However, there is a greater probability of increasing the Information Ratio.

I just posted a data table showing the latest updates for 19 portfolios.  Seventeen of the 19 are out-performing the VTSMX, and the two that are not are not as well diversified.

Lowell,

What is the time frame of the portfolios?  If it is like a college that has a 50 or 100 year time frame, then letting the market run, is a good idea. 

I'm not sure what a information ratio is, how it is computed or what its value is.

Bob

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#12 of 73

     Posted Nov-2 10:08 PM   
Lowell Herr
 
From  Lowell Herr  Posts 9381  Last 7:59 AM
To  Bob      [Msg # 33761.12 Message 33761.12 replying to 33761.10 33761.10 ]    
I keep hearing that but I haven't seen any data to support it.  Also as a stock picker buy and hold strategy, I'm happy to do nearly as well as the ETFs, without fees.
Are you saying you would rather capture a profit of $8.00 with no fees rather than make $10.00 with $1.00 in fees for a profit of $9.00?

BTW, there are numerous statistical studies available showing index investors (market followers), on average, do better than stock pickers.  One does need to look for them. 

However, the key is not how anybody else is doing, but how well are your stock picks performing vs. selecting a well planned portfolio built around a group of index funds?  That is the question one needs to answer.  The fact that Buffett & Munger or any other manager does well is of no consequence unless I hold shares in their company.

Lowell

http://www.lherr.org/blog/
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#13 of 73

     Posted Nov-2 10:12 PM   
Lowell Herr
 
From  Lowell Herr  Posts 9381  Last 7:59 AM
To  Bob      [Msg # 33761.13 Message 33761.13 replying to 33761.11 33761.11 ]    

What is the time frame of the portfolios?  If it is like a college that has a 50 or 100 year time frame, then letting the market run, is a good idea. 

I'm not sure what a information ratio is, how it is computed or what its value is.


The time frames are included in the data table.  Unfortunately, I don't have data going back much beyond ten years.

Google Information Ratio and you will see the definitions (look at several sites as they tend to fill in gaps) and how they are computed.  A few of us now calculate it on our own within the TLH spreadsheet.  I think Dan is making this calculation in one of his portfolios.

Lowell


http://www.lherr.org/blog/
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#14 of 73

     Posted Nov-2 10:26 PM   
Al Molter
 
From  Al Molter  Posts 1109  Last Nov-20
To  Lowell Herr      [Msg # 33761.14 Message 33761.14 replying to 33761.12 33761.12 ]    

<Are you saying you would rather capture a profit of $8.00 with no fees rather than make $10.00 with $1.00 in fees for a profit of $9.00?>

I think you're chumming!

Al Molter
Director
South Texas Chapter

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#15 of 73

     Posted Nov-3 5:46 AM   
Nancy Crays [Administrator]
 
From  Nancy Crays [Administrator]  Posts 836  Last 6:33 AM
To  Bob      [Msg # 33761.15 Message 33761.15 replying to 33761.10 33761.10 ]    
Also as a stock picker buy and hold strategy, I'm happy to do nearly as well as the ETFs, without fees.
We each need to make our own choices.  Each of us has different situations, both financially and personally.  What works well for one does not for another.

Nancy C.
Seniors Community
Investing for Growth Forum

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#16 of 73

     Posted Nov-3 6:57 AM   
Ev
 
From  Ev  Posts 2429  Last 10:08 AM
To  Bob      [Msg # 33761.16 Message 33761.16 replying to 33761.10 33761.10 ]    
More than you'd ever want to read on the subject of stock picking, i.e. academic studies
More evidence than the average duck could possibly take-in.

Scroll to the big box at the bottom of the page these are the references that support the information:
http://www.ifa.com/12steps/Step3/step3page3.asp

Then you can:  Countless studies show that individual and professional investors consistently underperform market averages. A visit to our article database of research studies will demonstrate the vast amount of research in this area,


Amongst the listings:  Investment Clubs don't do any better. In fact, they do quite poorly. Review this extensive study by Barber and Odean that explains how too many cooks can spoil the profits. (see summary of data below)






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#17 of 73

     Posted Nov-3 7:52 AM   
Dan Hess
 
From  Dan Hess  Posts 4718  Last 9:21 AM
To  Ev      [Msg # 33761.17 Message 33761.17 replying to 33761.16 33761.16 ]    

Statistics show that 50% of investors will perform below the mean.  However our brains are hard wired to believe we are above average and thus we think will be part of the group that beats the market.  I recently saw a study that 11% of daytraders had positive returns.  This means of course that 89% underperformed. However the lure of believing I am part of the 11% that can beat the market continues to lure investors (I suppose we should call them traders). I recently heard the CEO of TDAmeritrade indicate how well his business was doing in terms of trades and he mentioned that about half of the TDAmeritrade clients are daytraders. This surprised me although I have noted many of the tools they provide are designated to incur more frequent trading. It seems the higher unemployment rate has turned many of these people into daytraders trying to augment their income.

I think in reality most, especially those who are underperforming their benchmark do not really know how well they are performing versus their benchmark and in many cases do not have an appropriate benchmark to compare to their portfolio. 

My message is if you are one who is beating the market than continue to do what you are doing. But be sure you are accurately measuring your performance versus an appropriate benchmark.  If not you need to examine your approach.  With a market that tends to rise over the longer term just matching the market less fees with a well diversified portfolio of index ETFs is not too shabby.  I admit I still think I can select US stocks that will beat the market in most asset classes but I find this is not true when one must invest in international and emerging markets to capture the faster growth outside the US.

Dan

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#18 of 73

     Posted Nov-3 8:06 AM   
Lowell Herr
 
From  Lowell Herr  Posts 9381  Last 7:59 AM
To  Ev      [Msg # 33761.18 Message 33761.18 replying to 33761.16 33761.16 ]    
Amongst the listings:  Investment Clubs don't do any better. In fact, they do quite poorly. Review this extensive study by Barber and Odean that explains how too many cooks can spoil the profits. (see summary of data below)
All,

For the last nine years, Investment Clubs have fallen behind the VTSMX benchmark by 5.8% points annually.

Lowell


http://www.lherr.org/blog/
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#19 of 73

     Posted Nov-3 8:10 AM   
Lowell Herr
 
From  Lowell Herr  Posts 9381  Last 7:59 AM
To  Dan Hess      [Msg # 33761.19 Message 33761.19 replying to 33761.17 33761.17 ]    
I think in reality most, especially those who are under performing their benchmark do not really know how well they are performing versus their benchmark and in many cases do not have an appropriate benchmark to compare to their portfolio.

Dan,

In addition to not knowing what the return is with respect to a benchmark, most investor also have no clue as to what risk they are taking with their portfolio.  That is why I consider the Information Ratio so important.

Lowell

http://www.lherr.org/blog/
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#20 of 73

     Posted Nov-3 8:10 AM   
Bob
 
From  Bob  Posts 5477  Last 2:28 PM
To  Lowell Herr      [Msg # 33761.20 Message 33761.20 replying to 33761.13 33761.13 ]    

The time frames are included in the data table.  Unfortunately, I don't have data going back much beyond ten years.

Lowell,

My point was not going backwards but forward.  I would think a university would have a very long time frame, maybe 50 or 100 years.  I would think AA would work very nicely for that timeframe.

Bob

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Passive Investing

ETF Annual Turnover

  
 
     

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